Thursday forecast: Coldest day of the season so far

Warm Tuesday leads into cooler week, showers today, possible snow this week

Before we being digging into the snow chances, let's address the cold for today and Friday.

Northwest winds are in over the state today and that will be triggering some lake effect snow potential over northern tier counties in IN, mostly Laporte, St. Joe, Elkhart and Lagrange, along with parts of Kosciusko and Marshall.

Showers move out and colder air moves in. By Sunday, the clouds are persistent, the winds are gusty, and snow flurries are expected, keeping temperatures from moving much from the lower 30s. The first such opportunity comes overnight Friday into Saturday as a low pressure system develops along a front out over the ocean. Snow showers to start off the work week through Tuesday. The National Weather Service defines a white Christmas as having more than 0.5 inches of snow falling on Christmas day with at least one inch of snow on the ground.

Monday starts with sunshine, but northwest winds bring snows back to the areas north of U.S. 24. We won't be seeing any accumulation. Temps remain below normal for this time of year. This will mark the leading edge of a notable change in our weather pattern, bringing to an end the long series of relatively mild but not excessively warm days we have had and replacing it with the breezy winter chill. However, there are some models that are stronger with the system and heavier with the precipitation, so we will keep an eye on it. Highs are in the upper 30s to near 40 degrees Saturday, after a cold morning in the 20s.

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The bottom line: Cold and snow are in the forecast.

Temperatures moderate Monday. Winds are calmer and more sunshine begins the week. These kinds of totals mean that the snow will be very gradual through the period. At first it was somewhat of an after thought, but now it is becoming a little more aggressive.

Friday lingering snow flurries will be around, but we do see some sun.

Northwest flow aloft pushes several cold fronts through and another will pass through on Saturday.

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